22 research outputs found
Trifluoroacetic acid deposition from emissions of HFO-1234yf in India, China, and the Middle East
We have investigated trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) formation from emissions of HFO-1234yf (CF3CFH2), its dry and wet deposition, and rainwater concentration over India, China, and the Middle East with GEOS-Chem and WRFChem models. We estimated the TFA deposition and rainwater concentrations between 2020 and 2040 for four previously published HFO-1234yf emission scenarios to bound the possible levels of TFA. We evaluated the capability of GEOS-Chem to capture the wet deposition process by comparing calculated sulfate in rainwater with observations. Our calculated TFA amounts over the USA, Europe, and China were comparable to those previously reported when normalized to the same emission. A significant proportion of TFA was found to be deposited outside the emission regions. The mean and the extremes of TFA rainwater concentrations calculated for the four emission scenarios from GEOS-Chem and WRF-Chem were orders of magnitude below the no observable effect concentration. The ecological and human health impacts now, and the continued use of HFO-1234yf in India, China, and the Middle East, are estimated to be insignificant based on the current understanding, as summarized by Neale et al. (2021)
Trifluoroacetic acid deposition from emissions of HFO-1234yf in India, China, and the Middle East
We have investigated trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) formation from emissions of HFO-1234yf (CF3CFH2), its dry and wet deposition, and rainwater concentration over India, China, and the Middle East with GEOS-Chem and WRF-Chem models. We estimated the TFA deposition and rainwater concentrations between 2020 and 2040 for four previously published HFO-1234yf emission scenarios to bound the possible levels of TFA. We evaluated the capability of GEOS-Chem to capture the wet deposition process by comparing calculated sulfate in rainwater with observations. Our calculated TFA amounts over the USA, Europe, and China were comparable to those previously reported when normalized to the same emission. A significant proportion of TFA was found to be deposited outside the emission regions. The mean and the extremes of TFA rainwater concentrations calculated for the four emission scenarios from GEOS-Chem and WRF-Chem were orders of magnitude below the no observable effect concentration. The ecological and human health impacts now, and the continued use of HFO-1234yf in India, China, and the Middle East, are estimated to be insignificant based on the current understanding, as summarized by Neale et al. (2021)
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The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500
Anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are the main driver of current and future climate change. The integrated assessment community has quantified anthropogenic emissions for the shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios, each of which represents a different future socio-economic projection and political environment. Here, we provide the greenhouse gas concentrations for these SSP scenarios â using the reduced-complexity climateâcarbon-cycle model MAGICC7.0. We extend historical, observationally based concentration data with SSP concentration projections from 2015 to 2500 for 43 greenhouse gases with monthly and latitudinal resolution. CO2 concentrations by 2100 range from 393 to 1135âppm for the lowest (SSP1-1.9) and highest (SSP5-8.5) emission scenarios, respectively. We also provide the concentration extensions beyond 2100 based on assumptions regarding the trajectories of fossil fuels and land use change emissions, net negative emissions, and the fraction of non-CO2 emissions. By 2150, CO2 concentrations in the lowest emission scenario are approximately 350âppm and approximately plateau at that level until 2500, whereas the highest fossil-fuel-driven scenario projects CO2 concentrations of 1737âppm and reaches concentrations beyond 2000âppm by 2250. We estimate that the share of CO2 in the total radiative forcing contribution of all considered 43 long-lived greenhouse gases increases from 66â% for the present day to roughly 68â% to 85â% by the time of maximum forcing in the 21st century. For this estimation, we updated simple radiative forcing parameterizations that reflect the Oslo Line-By-Line model results. In comparison to the representative concentration pathways (RCPs), the five main SSPs (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) are more evenly spaced and extend to lower 2100 radiative forcing and temperatures. Performing two pairs of six-member historical ensembles with CESM1.2.2, we estimate the effect on surface air temperatures of applying latitudinally and seasonally resolved GHG concentrations. We find that the ensemble differences in the MarchâAprilâMay (MAM) season provide a regional warming in higher northern latitudes of up to 0.4âK over the historical period, latitudinally averaged of about 0.1âK, which we estimate to be comparable to the upper bound (âŒ5â% level) of natural variability. In comparison to the comparatively straight line of the last 2000 years, the greenhouse gas concentrations since the onset of the industrial period and this studies' projections over the next 100 to 500 years unequivocally depict a âhockey-stickâ upwards shape. The SSP concentration time series derived in this study provide a harmonized set of input assumptions for long-term climate science analysis; they also provide an indication of the wide set of futures that societal developments and policy implementations can lead to â ranging from multiple degrees of future warming on the one side to approximately 1.5ââC warming on the other
Advances in air quality research â current and emerging challenges
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This review provides a communityâs perspective on air quality research focusing mainly on developmentsover the past decade. The article provides perspectives on current and future challenges as well asresearch needs for selected key topics. While this paper is not an exhaustive review of all research areas in thefield of air quality, we have selected key topics that we feel are important from air quality research and policy perspectives. After providing a short historical overview, this review focuses on improvements in characterizingsources and emissions of air pollution, new air quality observations and instrumentation, advances in air qualityprediction and forecasting, understanding interactions of air quality with meteorology and climate, exposure andhealth assessment, and air quality management and policy. In conducting the review, specific objectives were(i) to address current developments that push the boundaries of air quality research forward, (ii) to highlightthe emerging prominent gaps of knowledge in air quality research, and (iii) to make recommendations to guidethe direction for future research within the wider community. This review also identifies areas of particular importancefor air quality policy. The original concept of this review was borne at the International Conferenceon Air Quality 2020 (held online due to the COVID 19 restrictions during 18â26 May 2020), but the articleincorporates a wider landscape of research literature within the field of air quality science. On air pollutionemissions the review highlights, in particular, the need to reduce uncertainties in emissions from diffuse sources,particulate matter chemical components, shipping emissions, and the importance of considering both indoor andoutdoor sources. There is a growing need to have integrated air pollution and related observations from bothground-based and remote sensing instruments, including in particular those on satellites. The research shouldalso capitalize on the growing area of low-cost sensors, while ensuring a quality of the measurements which areregulated by guidelines. Connecting various physical scales in air quality modelling is still a continual issue,with cities being affected by air pollution gradients at local scales and by long-range transport. At the same time,one should allow for the impacts from climate change on a longer timescale. Earth system modelling offers considerablepotential by providing a consistent framework for treating scales and processes, especially where thereare significant feedbacks, such as those related to aerosols, chemistry, and meteorology. Assessment of exposureto air pollution should consider the impacts of both indoor and outdoor emissions, as well as application of moresophisticated, dynamic modelling approaches to predict concentrations of air pollutants in both environments.With particulate matter being one of the most important pollutants for health, research is indicating the urgentneed to understand, in particular, the role of particle number and chemical components in terms of health impact,which in turn requires improved emission inventories and models for predicting high-resolution distributions ofthese metrics over cities. The review also examines how air pollution management needs to adapt to the abovementionednew challenges and briefly considers the implications from the COVID-19 pandemic for air quality.Finally, we provide recommendations for air quality research and support for policy.Peer reviewe
Advances in air quality research â current and emerging challenges
This review provides a community\u27s perspective on air quality research focusing mainly on developments over the past decade. The article provides perspectives on current and future challenges as well as research needs for selected key topics. While this paper is not an exhaustive review of all research areas in the field of air quality, we have selected key topics that we feel are important from air quality research and policy perspectives. After providing a short historical overview, this review focuses on improvements in characterizing sources and emissions of air pollution, new air quality observations and instrumentation, advances in air quality prediction and forecasting, understanding interactions of air quality with meteorology and climate, exposure and health assessment, and air quality management and policy. In conducting the review, specific objectives were (i) to address current developments that push the boundaries of air quality research forward, (ii) to highlight the emerging prominent gaps of knowledge in air quality research, and (iii) to make recommendations to guide the direction for future research within the wider community. This review also identifies areas of particular importance for air quality policy. The original concept of this review was borne at the International Conference on Air Quality 2020 (held online due to the COVID 19 restrictions during 18â26 May 2020), but the article incorporates a wider landscape of research literature within the field of air quality science. On air pollution emissions the review highlights, in particular, the need to reduce uncertainties in emissions from diffuse sources, particulate matter chemical components, shipping emissions, and the importance of considering both indoor and outdoor sources. There is a growing need to have integrated air pollution and related observations from both ground-based and remote sensing instruments, including in particular those on satellites. The research should also capitalize on the growing area of low-cost sensors, while ensuring a quality of the measurements which are regulated by guidelines. Connecting various physical scales in air quality modelling is still a continual issue, with cities being affected by air pollution gradients at local scales and by long-range transport. At the same time, one should allow for the impacts from climate change on a longer timescale. Earth system modelling offers considerable potential by providing a consistent framework for treating scales and processes, especially where there are significant feedbacks, such as those related to aerosols, chemistry, and meteorology. Assessment of exposure to air pollution should consider the impacts of both indoor and outdoor emissions, as well as application of more sophisticated, dynamic modelling approaches to predict concentrations of air pollutants in both environments. With particulate matter being one of the most important pollutants for health, research is indicating the urgent need to understand, in particular, the role of particle number and chemical components in terms of health impact, which in turn requires improved emission inventories and models for predicting high-resolution distributions of these metrics over cities. The review also examines how air pollution management needs to adapt to the above-mentioned new challenges and briefly considers the implications from the COVID-19 pandemic for air quality. Finally, we provide recommendations for air quality research and support for policy
Projections of hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions and the resulting global warming based on recent trends in observed abundances and current policies
The emissions of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) have increased significantly in the past 2 decades, primarily as a result of the phaseout of ozone-depleting substances under the Montreal Protocol and the use of HFCs as their replacements. In 2015, large increases were projected in HFC use and emissions in this century in the absence of regulations, contributing up to 0.5° C to global surface warming by 2100. In 2019, the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol came into force with the goal of limiting the use of HFCs globally, and currently, regulations to limit the use of HFCs are in effect in several countries. Here, we analyze trends in HFC emissions inferred from observations of atmospheric abundances and compare them with previous projections. Total CO2eq. inferred HFC emissions continue to increase through 2019 (to about 0.8 GtCO2eq.yr-1) but are about 20 % lower than previously projected for 2017-2019, mainly because of the lower global emissions of HFC-143a. This indicates that HFCs are used much less in industrial and commercial refrigeration (ICR) applications than previously projected. This is supported by data reported by the developed countries and the lower reported consumption of HFC-143a in China. Because this time period preceded the beginning of the Kigali provisions, this reduction cannot be linked directly to the provisions of the Kigali Amendment. However, it could indicate that companies transitioned away from the HFC-143a with its high global warming potential (GWP) for ICR applications in anticipation of national or global mandates. There are two new HFC scenarios developed based (1) on current trends in HFC use and Kigali-independent (K-I) control policies currently existing in several countries and (2) current HFC trends and compliance with the Kigali Amendment (KA-2022). These current policies reduce projected emissions in 2050 from the previously calculated 4.0-5.3 GtCO2eq.yr-1 to 1.9-3.6 GtCO2eq.yr-1. The added provisions of the Kigali Amendment are projected to reduce the emissions further to 0.9-1.0 GtCO2eq.yr-1 in 2050. Without any controls, projections suggest a HFC contribution of 0.28-0.44° C to global surface warming by 2100, compared to a temperature contribution of 0.14-0.31° C that is projected considering the national K-I policies current in place. Warming from HFCs is additionally limited by the Kigali Amendment controls to a contribution of about 0.04°C by 2100
A global observational analysis to understand changes in air quality during exceptionally low anthropogenic emission
This global study, which has been coordinated by the World Meteorological Organization Global Atmospheric Watch (WMO/GAW) programme, aims to understand the behaviour of key air pollutant species during the COVID-19 pandemic period of exceptionally low emissions across the globe. We investigated the effects of the differences in both emissions and regional and local meteorology in 2020 compared with the period 2015â2019. By adopting a globally consistent approach, this comprehensive observational analysis focuses on changes in air quality in and around cities across the globe for the following air pollutants PM2.5, PM10, PMC (coarse fraction of PM), NO2, SO2, NOx, CO, O3 and the total gaseous oxidant (OX = NO2 + O3) during the pre-lockdown, partial lockdown, full lockdown and two relaxation periods spanning from January to September 2020. The analysis is based on in situ ground-based air quality observations at over 540 traffic, background and rural stations, from 63 cities and covering 25 countries over seven geographical regions of the world. Anomalies in the air pollutant concentrations (increases or decreases during 2020 periods compared to equivalent 2015â2019 periods) were calculated and the possible effects of meteorological conditions were analysed by computing anomalies from ERA5 reanalyses and local observations for these periods. We observed a positive correlation between the reductions in NO2 and NOx concentrations and peoplesâ mobility for most cities. A correlation between PMC and mobility changes was also seen for some Asian and South American cities. A clear signal was not observed for other pollutants, suggesting that sources besides vehicular emissions also substantially contributed to the change in air quality. As a global and regional overview of the changes in ambient concentrations of key air quality species, we observed decreases of up to about 70% in mean NO2 and between 30% and 40% in mean PM2.5 concentrations over 2020 full lockdown compared to the same period in 2015â2019. However, PM2.5 exhibited complex signals, even within the same region, with increases in some Spanish cities, attributed mainly to the long-range transport of African dust and/or biomass burning (corroborated with the analysis of NO2/CO ratio). Some Chinese cities showed similar increases in PM2.5 during the lockdown periods, but in this case, it was likely due to secondary PM formation. Changes in O3 concentrations were highly heterogeneous, with no overall change or small increases (as in the case of Europe), and positive anomalies of 25% and 30% in East Asia and South America, respectively, with Colombia showing the largest positive anomaly of ~70%. The SO2 anomalies were negative for 2020 compared to 2015â2019 (between ~25 to 60%) for all regions. For CO, negative anomalies were observed for all regions with the largest decrease for South America of up to ~40%. The NO2/CO ratio indicated that specific sites (such as those in Spanish cities) were affected by biomass burning plumes, which outweighed the NO2 decrease due to the general reduction in mobility (ratio of ~60%). Analysis of the total oxidant (OX = NO2 + O3) showed that primary NO2 emissions at urban locations were greater than the O3 production, whereas at background sites, OX was mostly driven by the regional contributions rather than local NO2 and O3 concentrations. The present study clearly highlights the importance of meteorology and episodic contributions (e.g., from dust, domestic, agricultural biomass burning and crop fertilizing) when analysing air quality in and around cities even during large emissions reductions. There is still the need to better understand how the chemical responses of secondary pollutants to emission change under complex meteorological conditions, along with climate change and socio-economic drivers may affect future air quality. The implications for regional and global policies are also significant, as our study clearly indicates that PM2.5 concentrations would not likely meet the World Health Organization guidelines in many parts of the world, despite the drastic reductions in mobility. Consequently, revisions of air quality regulation (e.g., the Gothenburg Protocol) with more ambitious targets that are specific to the different regions of the world may well be required.Peer reviewedFinal Published versio
A global observational analysis to understand changes in air quality during exceptionally low anthropogenic emission conditions
This global study, which has been coordinated by the World Meteorological Organization Global Atmospheric
Watch (WMO/GAW) programme, aims to understand the behaviour of key air pollutant species during the
COVID-19 pandemic period of exceptionally low emissions across the globe. We investigated the effects of the
differences in both emissions and regional and local meteorology in 2020 compared with the period 2015â2019.
By adopting a globally consistent approach, this comprehensive observational analysis focuses on changes in air
quality in and around cities across the globe for the following air pollutants PM2.5, PM10, PMC (coarse fraction of
PM), NO2, SO2, NOx, CO, O3 and the total gaseous oxidant (OX = NO2 + O3) during the pre-lockdown, partial
lockdown, full lockdown and two relaxation periods spanning from January to September 2020. The analysis is
based on in situ ground-based air quality observations at over 540 traffic, background and rural stations, from 63
cities and covering 25 countries over seven geographical regions of the world. Anomalies in the air pollutant
concentrations (increases or decreases during 2020 periods compared to equivalent 2015â2019 periods) were
calculated and the possible effects of meteorological conditions were analysed by computing anomalies from
ERA5 reanalyses and local observations for these periods. We observed a positive correlation between the reductions
in NO2 and NOx concentrations and peoplesâ mobility for most cities. A correlation between PMC and
mobility changes was also seen for some Asian and South American cities. A clear signal was not observed for
other pollutants, suggesting that sources besides vehicular emissions also substantially contributed to the change
in air quality.
As a global and regional overview of the changes in ambient concentrations of key air quality species, we
observed decreases of up to about 70% in mean NO2 and between 30% and 40% in mean PM2.5 concentrations
over 2020 full lockdown compared to the same period in 2015â2019. However, PM2.5 exhibited complex signals,
even within the same region, with increases in some Spanish cities, attributed mainly to the long-range transport
of African dust and/or biomass burning (corroborated with the analysis of NO2/CO ratio). Some Chinese cities
showed similar increases in PM2.5 during the lockdown periods, but in this case, it was likely due to secondary
PM formation. Changes in O3 concentrations were highly heterogeneous, with no overall change or small increases
(as in the case of Europe), and positive anomalies of 25% and 30% in East Asia and South America,
respectively, with Colombia showing the largest positive anomaly of ~70%. The SO2 anomalies were negative for
2020 compared to 2015â2019 (between ~25 to 60%) for all regions. For CO, negative anomalies were observed for all regions with the largest decrease for South America of up to ~40%. The NO2/CO ratio indicated that
specific sites (such as those in Spanish cities) were affected by biomass burning plumes, which outweighed the
NO2 decrease due to the general reduction in mobility (ratio of ~60%). Analysis of the total oxidant (OX = NO2
+ O3) showed that primary NO2 emissions at urban locations were greater than the O3 production, whereas at
background sites, OX was mostly driven by the regional contributions rather than local NO2 and O3 concentrations.
The present study clearly highlights the importance of meteorology and episodic contributions (e.g.,
from dust, domestic, agricultural biomass burning and crop fertilizing) when analysing air quality in and around
cities even during large emissions reductions. There is still the need to better understand how the chemical
responses of secondary pollutants to emission change under complex meteorological conditions, along with
climate change and socio-economic drivers may affect future air quality. The implications for regional and global
policies are also significant, as our study clearly indicates that PM2.5 concentrations would not likely meet the
World Health Organization guidelines in many parts of the world, despite the drastic reductions in mobility.
Consequently, revisions of air quality regulation (e.g., the Gothenburg Protocol) with more ambitious targets that
are specific to the different regions of the world may well be required.World Meteorological Organization Global Atmospheric Watch
programme is gratefully acknowledged for initiating and coordinating
this study and for supporting this publication.
We acknowledge the following projects for supporting the analysis
contained in this article:
Air Pollution and Human Health for an Indian Megacity project
PROMOTE funded by UK NERC and the Indian MOES, Grant reference
number NE/P016391/1;
Regarding project funding from the European Commission, the sole
responsibility of this publication lies with the authors. The European
Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information
contained therein.
This project has received funding from the European Commissionâs
Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement
No 874990 (EMERGE project).
European Regional Development Fund (project MOBTT42) under the
Mobilitas Pluss programme;
Estonian Research Council (project PRG714);
Estonian Research Infrastructures Roadmap project Estonian Environmental
Observatory (KKOBS, project 2014-2020.4.01.20-0281).
European network for observing our changing planet project (ERAPLANET,
grant agreement no. 689443) under the European Unionâs
Horizon 2020 research and innovation program, Estonian Ministry of
Sciences projects (grant nos. P180021, P180274), and the Estonian
Research Infrastructures Roadmap project Estonian Environmental Observatory
(3.2.0304.11-0395).
Eastern Mediterranean and Middle EastâClimate and Atmosphere Research (EMME-CARE) project, which has received funding from the
European Unionâs Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme
(grant agreement no. 856612) and the Government of Cyprus.
INAR acknowledges support by the Russian government (grant
number 14.W03.31.0002), the Ministry of Science and Higher Education
of the Russian Federation (agreement 14.W0331.0006), and the Russian
Ministry of Education and Science (14.W03.31.0008). We are grateful to to the following agencies for providing access to
data used in our analysis:
A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics Russian Academy of
Sciences;
Agenzia Regionale per la Protezione dellâAmbiente della Campania
(ARPAC);
Air Quality and Climate Change, Parks and Environment (MetroVancouver,
Government of British Columbia);
Air Quality Monitoring & Reporting, Nova Scotia Environment
(Government of Nova Scotia);
Air Quality Monitoring Network (SIMAT) and Emission Inventory,
Mexico City Environment Secretariat (SEDEMA);
Airparif (owner & provider of the Paris air pollution data);
ARPA Lazio, Italy;
ARPA Lombardia, Italy;
Association AgrÂŽeÂŽee de Surveillance de la QualitÂŽe de lâAir en ËIle-de-
France AIRPARIF / Atmo-France;
Bavarian Environment Agency, Germany;
Berlin Senatsverwaltung fĂŒr Umwelt, Verkehr und Klimaschutz,
Germany;
California Air Resources Board;
Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB), India;
CETESB: Companhia Ambiental do Estado de SËao Paulo, Brazil.
China National Environmental Monitoring Centre;
Chandigarh Pollution Control Committee (CPCC), India.
DCMR Rijnmond Environmental Service, the Netherlands.
Department of Labour Inspection, Cyprus;
Department of Natural Resources Management and Environmental
Protection of Moscow.
Environment and Climate Change Canada;
Environmental Monitoring and Science Division Alberta Environment
and Parks (Government of Alberta);
Environmental Protection Authority Victoria (Melbourne, Victoria,
Australia);
Estonian Environmental Research Centre (EERC);
Estonian University of Life Sciences, SMEAR Estonia;
European Regional Development Fund (project MOBTT42) under
the Mobilitas Pluss programme;
Finnish Meteorological Institute;
Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority;
Haryana Pollution Control Board (HSPCB), IndiaLondon Air Quality
Network (LAQN) and the Automatic Urban and Rural Network (AURN)
supported by the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs,
UK Government;
Madrid Municipality;
Met Office Integrated Data Archive System (MIDAS);
Meteorological Service of Canada;
Minist`ere de lâEnvironnement et de la Lutte contre les changements
climatiques (Gouvernement du QuÂŽebec);
Ministry of Environment and Energy, Greece;
Ministry of the Environment (Chile) and National Weather Service
(DMC);
Moscow State Budgetary Environmental Institution
MOSECOMONITORING.
Municipal Department of the Environment SMAC, Brazil;
Municipality of Madrid public open data service;
National institute of environmental research, Korea;
National Meteorology and Hydrology Service (SENAMHI), Peru;
New York State Department of Environmental Conservation;
NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment;
Ontario Ministry of the Environment, Conservation and Parks,
Canada;
Public Health Service of Amsterdam (GGD), the Netherlands.
Punjab Pollution Control Board (PPCB), India.
RÂŽeseau de surveillance de la qualitÂŽe de lâair (RSQA) (MontrÂŽeal);
Rosgydromet. Mosecomonitoring, Institute of Atmospheric Physics,
Russia;
Russian Foundation for Basic Research (project 20â05â00254)
SAFAR-IITM-MoES, India;
SËao Paulo State Environmental Protection Agency, CETESB;
Secretaria de Ambiente, DMQ, Ecuador;
SecretarĂa Distrital de Ambiente, BogotÂŽa, Colombia.
Secretaria Municipal de Meio Ambiente Rio de Janeiro;
Mexico City Atmospheric Monitoring System (SIMAT); Mexico City
Secretariat of Environment, SecretarĂa del Medio Ambiente (SEDEMA);
SLB-analys, Sweden;
SMEAR Estonia station and Estonian University of Life Sciences
(EULS);
SMEAR stations data and Finnish Center of Excellence;
South African Weather Service and Department of Environment,
Forestry and Fisheries through SAAQIS;
Spanish Ministry for the Ecological Transition and the Demographic
Challenge (MITECO);
University of Helsinki, Finland;
University of Tartu, Tahkuse air monitoring station;
Weather Station of the Institute of Astronomy, Geophysics and Atmospheric
Science of the University of SËao Paulo;
West Bengal Pollution Control Board (WBPCB).http://www.elsevier.com/locate/envintam2023Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorolog
A review of bottom-up and top-down emission estimates of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) in different parts of the world.
Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) are widespread alternatives for the ozone-depleting substances chlorofluorocarbons and hydrochlorofluorocarbons. They are used mainly as refrigerants or as foam-blowing agents. HFCs do not deplete the ozone layer, but they are very potent greenhouse gases, already contributing to global warming. Since 2019 HFCs are regulated under the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol, which demands reliable emission estimates to monitor the phase-down. Quantification of emissions is performed with two methods: bottom-up from product inventories or data on chemical sales; or top-down, inferred from atmospheric measurements by inverse modelling or interspecies correlation. Here, we review and compare the two methods and give an overview of HFC emissions from different parts of the world. Emission estimates reported by the different methods vary considerably. HFC emissions of developed countries (Annex I) are reported to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. These bottom-up estimates add up to only half of global emissions estimated from atmospheric data. Several studies with regional top-down estimates have shown that this gap is not owed to large-scale underreporting of emissions from developed countries, but mostly due to emissions from developing countries (non-Annex I). China accounts for a large fraction of the emissions causing the gap, but not entirely. Bottom-up and top-down estimations of emissions from other developing countries that could identify other large emitters are largely unavailable. Especially South America, West-, Central- and East-Africa, India, the Arabian Peninsula and Northern Australia are not well covered by measurement stations that could provide atmospheric data for top-down estimates